Easing after a near-record 2026; western Caribbean still above normal (USF, Sep 2026)

• Mexican Caribbean (Cancún–Tulum)High
• Lesser Antilles (Barbados, St Lucia)Moderate
• S. Florida & the KeysModerate
• Gulf Coast (TX / LA)Low
• Pacific Mexico (Cabo, PV)Clear

Full sargassum forecast →

Below-normal 2026 season so far: 9 named storms, 1 hurricane (Isaias)

Season underway — Jun 1 to Nov 30. Current risk: Moderate.

NOAA 2026 outlook: 7–13 named / 2–6 hurricanes / 0–2 major (August update).

No active storms as of Oct 16; Isaias hit Destin, FL on Oct 9.

Full hurricane tracker →